Vlad has emerged as the top team by actual winning %, which lines up with his All-Play standing despite the fact that he's actually gotten some bad luck.  Out of the other contending teams, Mick and Blake have been the most unlucky.  Meanwhile, Scott, Emil, and Scott have benefitted the most from schedule luck.

Advanced note: 9 weeks in, each game is 11.1% of the season so far.  So Vlad's team, with a 11% gap effectively deserves and extra win compared to his actual performance.

In this new view (idea courtesy of Mick) I'll highlight each team's All-Play winning % compared to their actual winning %.  For anyone who doesn't understand All-Play, it just gives you a record every week based on how you would do facing off vs every team, not just the team you actually faced.  So for example Mick would have recorded a 10-1 record in Week 8 since he had the second highest score of the week, but in reality he went 0-1 since he got unlucky and faced off against the top scorer.

The chart below is sorted from the highest to the lowest All-Play record.  It also highlights teams that have performed significantly better than their actual records with green bubbles, and teams that have been worse than their actual records with red bubbles.  Out of the contending teams, Mick and Vlad have been the most unlucky.  Meanwhile, Matt, Scott, Emil, and Ian have benefitted the most from schedule luck.

Advanced note: 8 weeks in, each game is 12.5% of the season so far.  So Vlad's team, with a13% gap effectively deserves and extra win compared to his actual performance.

Raw The top teams in the Raw Division are all expected to win, and Blake is the only one of them who should have a tough matchup.  Ultimately, the results this week shouldn't ding anyone's playoff hopes too much.  After another unexpected win, Matt might only be one or two upsets away from being a playoff threat.

Smackdown Emil continues to be solidly in-line for a playoff spot, even through he's a slight underdog this week.  Beyond him, the Division is pretty wide open.  Vlad is expected to win, but wasn't helped by a fluky Thursday night performance that helped Mike take an early lead.  Mick and Scott are big favorites, and really can't afford to lose.  But its Robby vs Ian that is highlighted as the Game of the Week.  A loss wouldn't be killer (in fact its expected), but a win would put Robby squarely in the driver's seat for the final playoff spot heading into a managable stretch of games.

Raw Blake finds himself in the biggest game of the week as another loss would put him in a scary spot with 3 legit opponents (Emil, Vlad, Mark) ahead over the next 3 weeks.  Ian has played himself into some safety, even though he's the underdog this week.  Mark is also an underdog, but given his record and point total he's safe as well.

Smackdown Mick is under some pressure and a loss vs Blake this week will probably drop his playoff odds below 50%.  Robby and Scott have easy matchups that should see them each improve to 4-3.  Emil and Vlad have risen above the pack and its hard to see them not make the playoffs at this point.

Raw Surprisingly, in the first week of cross-division play the biggest favorite from the Raw side is Mike, who is expected to give Scott a major dent to his playoff hopes.  Mark, Matt, and Eric are big underdogs, but there doesn't project to be a major change in playoff expectations.  Blake vs Robby is the game of the week, but the importance is really on Robby's side since Blake should be in good shape regardless.

Also, big shoutout to Matt: a playoff team after 1/3 of the season!  No one had that on their bingo cards (including the model, which only expects another 1 or 2 wins for him the rest of the way).

Smackdown Emil and Vlad have stepped up as the teams to beat in Smackdown, but Mick will have a great shot to get back to winning this week.  Bye weeks give Scott a very tough task against Mike, and Robby can jump back up to the 4th spot in the division with a big win over Blake.  The model really doesn't like where Robby would be with a loss, making this almost like an early must-win.

Raw After a big win in week 4, Ian is now the clear favorite to take the last playoff spot.  He can't let a matchup vs the last winless team in the league derail his hopes though. The two division leaders are also expected to win, though the matchup for Mark is projected as the 2nd closest one this week.

Smackdown The most fun matchup this week actually isn't the game of the week.  Emil and Mick face off in what is the closest thing to a true rivalry between hated rivals.  Whether they admit it or not, come Monday night one of them will be very happy to put a small dent in the other's playoff hopes (or a medium dent if Mick is the one losing).  

The actual game of the week is the most important matchup of the season so far.  Robby and Scott are directly competing with Ian for the last playoff spot and a single win could make the difference.  Considering Scott's cross-division schedule looks soft, there is probably more pressure on Robby to win here..

Raw None of the matchups in the Raw division are very interesting this week.  The one matchup that should make a big impact on the playoff run (Mark vs Ian) is also projected to be the biggest blowout of the week.  An upset victory would be big though!

Smackdown Emil vs Scott is the game of the week, but every matchup in this division had a case for the recognition.  Neither Emil or Scott will be down too bad with a loss, but a win for Emil will put him squarely in the top 3/4 in playoff odds.  For Scott, the result will either put him a step above or below the middle of the pack.  Robby is in the same boat as Scott with the matchup this week, and Vlad could make a big jump in playoff odds with a win.

Raw Ian's win last week puts him on the playoff track, but he's got to take care of business again this week in order to remain on course.  The other matchups won't matter for the playoff picture and probably won't be competitive.  The fact that the 3 worst teams in the league are in this division makes things boring until we get into inter-division play next week.

Smackdown Every matchup this week is pretty interesting in the Smackdown division.  Scott's matchup headlines, since a poor showing for Rhamondre on Thursday makes him the underdog in a matchup that he's really got to win.  Emil vs Vlad appears to be the tightest matchup of the week and is pretty much a must-win for Vlad.  Robby projects to be compettive vs Mick and a win would be big for him.

Raw Mark and Blake face-off for the early division lead, but ultimately both teams should be on track to make the playoffs.  A more interesting matchup is Ian's vs Mike.  Despite losing Jordan Love for a while, Ian hopes to be on the playoff bubble, but starting 0-2 will be tough since it will mean he'll only have 4 more losses to take all year in order to reach a safe-ish 8 wins.

Smackdown Like Ian, Robby and Vlad will be in a tough spot if they drop to 0-2, making their matchup the top one this week.  However, Scott's matchup vs Mick is projected to be the tightest and is also compelling as Scott could play himself up from the playoff bubble into the pole position in the division.  Emil also has to be on guard, this matchup isn't projected to be a blowout, but its a win he needs in order to have some breathing room vs the top teams.